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A Case Study in the Unintended Consequences of Financial Market Regulation: The Death of the Small Cap U.S. IPO?

The first 100 days of the Obama administration are widely expected to usher in a new era of U.S. capital markets regulation designed to restore the public’s trust in the decimated institutions that provide much of the liquidity infrastructure for the global capitalist system.  It is imperative that improved financial oversight be achieved swiftly through the enactment of effective regulation so that the markets can re-equilibrate and resume their normal function.  Without these necessary changes, global economic growth will continue to falter.

At the same time, we must recognize that regulations enacted in haste can have severe, negative unintended consequences.  The current moribund state of the American IPO market is a real-time case study in such unintended regulatory consequences.  Of equal import is the fact that the IPO drought is structural, not cyclical, and this has far reaching implications for the future of innovation in America. 

On November 19^th, Grant Thornton released a white paper, “Why Are IPO’s in the ICU?” written by David Weild, former Vice Chairman of the NASDAQ, and Edward Kim, former head of NASDAQ product development, both now principals at Capital Markets Advisory Partners. 

To download the white paper click Download Why are IPOs in the ICU_11_19 :  

The paper was presented to the NYSE and National Venture Capital Association’s Blue Ribbon Regional Task Force, which has been convened to make specific recommendations to the Obama administration in January regarding changes that must occur if America is to restore the small cap IPO as a compelling and differentiated positive feature of our capital markets.

The paper is concise and makes a cogent case as to how we got here.  If you want to understand why the IPO market has died and why the middle market for public emerging growth companies has effectively ceased functioning, you must read this paper.

 I agree with the paper’s overall thesis and with a number of its important assertions, including:   

* While conventional wisdom may say the U.S. IPO market is going through a cyclical downturn, exacerbated by the recent credit crisis, many are beginning to share a view of a new and much darker reality: The market for underwritten IPOs, given its current structure, is closed to most (80 percent) of the companies that need it. 

* The lack of an IPO market has caused venture capitalists to avoid financing some of the more far-reaching and risky ideas that have no obvious Fortune 500 buyer. Gone are the days when most venture capitalists would so willingly pioneer new industries and technologies (e.g., semiconductors, computers and biotechnology) that have no obvious outlet other than the IPO market.

* Regulators may have unwittingly done a real disservice to mom and pop investors by enabling traders to hijack the markets for speculation. This phenomenon can be seen by the large Wall Street firms who have witnessed their top 10 (by revenue) institutional investors — which only a decade ago were “long- only” mutual funds such as Fidelity and Alliance — be displaced by hyper-trading long-short hedge funds.

* The U.S. will lose its competitive advantage in developing, incubating and applying new technologies. Technologists are already returning to foreign jurisdictions like China and India where government has devised an increasing array of economic and capital markets incentives to compete.

The lack of IPO’s in the U.S. has broad, negative implications for continued risk taking by U.S. venture capitalists. If we have no public market liquidity for emerging growth companies, there will be no next generation of American technology giants. The demise of the technology IPO has also contributed to the structural breakdown in the broader cycle of research and development that underlies the American innovation crisis heralded by Silicon Valley thought leaders such as Judy Estrin.

 

If you have constructive recommendations for reforms that you believe should be enacted to support a renewed IPO market, please contact me at pascal@levp.com, and I will forward your suggestions to the NVCA.

"Bailing Out Wall Street" Commonwealth Club Panel Broadcast on KALW 91.7 November 11 at 7PM PST

KALW 91.7 FM, the local San Francisco National Public Radio station, will be broadcasting "Bailing Out Wall Street", the lively election-eveCommonwealth Club INFORUM panel on which I participated, tomorrow at 7 PM PDT.   In front of a live audience of over 200 people, we shared differing views on the wisdom of the Federal Government's emergency relief and assistance program to the banking and finance industries-- commonly tarred as the "Wall Street Bailout".  Our vigorous discussion was fueled by the nature of the panelists, as I joined Dave Callaway, Editor-in-Chief, MarketWatch, Jonathan Berk, Professor, Graduate School of Business, Stanford University, and Maggie Mui, San Francisco Market Regional President, Wells Fargo.  The panel was expertly moderated by Kathleen Pender, Net Worth Columnist, San Francisco Chronicle.

 

Dave Callaway, Maggie Mui, Jonathan Berk, Pascal Levensohn, and Kathleen Pender

Some of the thorny questions we addressed: 

• Will the bailout work and is it really a bailout?
• Did the Treasury's decision to throw Lehman Brothers under the proverbial bus on September 13 light the match for the panic that subsequently routed financial markets?
• What are the current prospects for entrepreneurs and for continuing innovation in Silicon Valley during these recessionary times?
• Are we going to drown in new securities regulations with unintended negative consequences?

Why Entrepreneurs Can Thrive During a Recession

Vivek Wadhwa, currently a Wertheim Fellow at the Harvard Law School and a successful tech entrepreneur, wrote a constructive article in Business Week, "Startups: The Upside of a Downturn", providing advice and encouraging entrepreneurs not to wait to start a business during a recession-- on the contrary, he identifies a recessionary environment as supportive of well-crafted new business opportunities.  For a link to the full article, click here.  

I've excerpted some of the core concepts in the article below:

"My advice for other tech entrepreneurs thinking of launching right now? Don't wait. A recession is your ally in building a lean, thriving company. Consider the following four advantages.

Less competition. An economic downturn clears the competitive landscape for startups. Most of the "me-too" companies with inferior products and weak business models go out of business, and fewer are started. Plus, it becomes a lot easier to do licensing deals with universities and business partners—no one else is.

Lower costs. It is a buyer's market, and you can negotiate deals on real estate, equipment, and materials like never before. Salaries are lower for new hires, and there is little pressure to give big salary increases to existing staff.

Easier to recruit and keep employees. You will readily find people who have been laid off and are eager to get back to work. They will accept lower salaries in return for stock and take the risk of joining a startup. And rather than focusing on getting a job with a competitor who pays a little more money, employees are usually content to build tenure and focus on your success.

Less pressure to expand. Rather than rushing to expand your business, you have the luxury of doing it right. You can conceive of better products, test them carefully to make sure they work and meet customer needs, and experiment with different business models. Since you are not in a frantic rush to get a product out or build market share, you can do things more methodically."

It's Time for America to Get Back Into the Storage Business

I used to be in the moving business. Eighteen years ago, after working for seven years in the risk arbitrage business, one of the many 'moving' businesses of Wall Street, I left New York to come to San Francisco in order to get into the 'storage' business. America's strong economic foundations are rooted in multi-year business building and long-term risk taking. We are now bearing witness to the sour fruits of moving securities around like meaningless scraps of paper for short-term profit and the securitization of risk into a daisy chain of the unknown and the unmanageable.

Over the past 20 years, the average holding period for stocks has declined from 2+years to just 3 months as of earlier this year. A root cause of the relentless volatility in the equity, commodity, and debt indexes is the steady erosion of long term thinking in investing, not only in this country, but all over the world. How many public company CEOs have lamented the wholly inconsistent demands of managing quarterly earnings expectations for fickle institutional investors while maintaining a consistent long term operating strategy to maximize shareholder value?

It's time for a global re-boot of the investor mindset so that people can start investing responsibly-- there are many reasons why Warren Buffett is such a successful investor, and long-term thinking is one of them.

I can thank Brett Haire, my boss at First Boston during the 1980's, for inspiring me to leave Wall Street and risk arbitrage behind. I remember once asking Brett for permission to accumulate a long-term, unhedged position in the spin-out of a company that we were researching for investment. Brett looked at me, incredulous, and said, "Pascal, we're in the moving business here, not in the storage business." At that moment I realized that I did not want to be in the moving business and initiated the career path that led me to become a venture capitalist.

America needs to get back in the storage business at many levels and actively promote the entrepreneurial spirit that built this country one brick at a time at the same time that we re-build our securities markets. Let's learn from our mistakes.

The SEC's Colossal Failure of Oversight-- Isn't This a Violation of the Business Judgment Rule?

The damning New York Times headline, "SEC CONCEDES OVERSIGHT FLAWS FUELED COLLAPSE," from a September 26th article by Stephen Labaton, will hopefully end up as more than a footnote in the long list of misdeeds by the 'stewards' of the American economy that have brought American capitalism to the precipice of systemic financial collapse. According to the article, a report by the inspector general of the SEC asserts that "voluntary regulation does not work" and that the SEC's oversight program for the investment banks "was fundamentally flawed from the beginning."

The article goes on to state:

The report found that the S.E.C. division that oversees trading and markets had failed to update the rules of the program and was “not fulfilling its obligations.” It said that nearly one-third of the firms under supervision had failed to file the required documents. And it found that the division had not adequately reviewed many of the filings made by other firms. The division’s “failure to carry out the purpose and goals of the broker-dealer risk assessment program hinders the commission’s ability to foresee or respond to weaknesses in the financial markets,” the report said.

We should not gloss over the importance and the far reaching nature of this indictment of the SEC by the SEC's inspector general. The most fundamental fiduciary duty in business is the Duty of Oversight. Oversight is a theme which binds together the more commonly referred to fiduciary Duties of Care, Loyalty, Confidentiality, and Disclosure. Violators of the fiduciary duties listed above often seek refuge in the Business Judgment Rule and try to to hide behind 'squishy' judgment call concepts like "good faith" and "honest belief". But the Business Judgment Rule stands on oversight, and the SEC clearly failed in its duty of oversight of the investment banks. In my view, in addition to the bankers, the regulators themselves should also be held responsible for this crime against America.

Below is a definition of the rule, taken from the white paper, "A Simple Guide to the Basic Responsibilities of VC-Backed Company Directors", written by the Working Group on Director Accountability and Board Effectiveness:

Business Judgment Rule
Creates a presumption that in making a business decision, the directors of a company acted on an informed
basis, in good faith and in the honest belief that the action taken was in the best interests of the company.
The business judgment rule helps protect a director from personal liability for allegedly bad business
decisions by essentially shifting the burden of proof to a plaintiff alleging that the director did not satisfy
its fiduciary duties. This presumption and the protections afforded by the business judgment rule are lost if the directors involved in the decision are not disinterested, do not make appropriate inquiry prior to
making their decisions, or fail to establish adequate oversight mechanisims.

All corporate directors and persons in positions of accountable oversight responsibility need to commit these rules to memory-- and, more importantly, to act on them in the daily course of business.

Building Alliances Between Venture Capitalists and Corporations- A Consistent Imperative

Building alliances between venture capitalists and corporations has never been more important than in today's extraordinarily volatile capital markets. We may be looking at a Brave New World in finance when markets re-equilibrate (and eventually they will), but knowing how to partner with large corporations-- who are both strategic business development partners as well as potential strategic acquirers of emerging companies-- will remain a constant for venture capitalists.

The National Venture Capital Association (NVCA) kicks off a new corporate webcast series on Friday, October 17, 2008 with a special complimentary webcast featuring Claudia Fan Munce, Managing Director, IBM Venture Capital Group, and Dan'l Lewin, Corporate Vice President, Microsoft Corporation, who have generously sponsored Partnerships for Prosperity: Building Alliances Between Venture Capitalists and Corporations.

I will be moderating the webcast, and we will discuss some of the challenges and best practices that venture capitalists should follow in order to optimize their relationships with IBM and Microsoft. The models that IBM and Microsoft follow are by no means identical, as they are influenced by different corporate cultures and business priorities. Claudia and Dan'l will share helpful tips on how to best work with their organizations as well as more general insights on successful corporate partnering strategies for VCs.

The new webcast series will follow this special launch event with other relevant content featuring global corporate leaders whose organizations seek to partner with venture-backed companies.

This webcast is complimentary to all NVCA members-- to register CLICK HERE TO LINK TO THE NVCA WEBSITE

Best Practices for VC Directors Involved in M&A Transactions in Today’s Challenging Environment

Dave Barry, Managing Editor of Dow Jones Financial Information Services, has invited me to join a panel of M&A experts on September 26 to discuss best practices and some of the key challenges currently facing VC-backed company boards involved in mergers and acquisitions. Joining me on the panel are Jeff Laborde, Vice President in Goldman Sachs’ Technology Investment Banking Group, who represented our portfolio company Rapt earlier this year in Rapt’s acquisition by Microsoft. John Peters, former CEO of our portfolio company Reconnex, which McAfee acquired recently, will also be a panelist. Ron Star of Howard Rice joins us to bring the legal perspective to this webinar.

Any venture capitalist involved in or considering an M&A transaction knows that the dynamics of acquisitions in today’s market have shifted such that there is an asymmetric negotiating advantage favoring large corporations (greater resources, always able to ‘wait until next quarter’). Levensohn Venture Partners completed three acquisitions of our portfolio companies so far this year, so I have a very current perspective on the challenges and opportunities of the technology M&A market.

This webinar should be both lively and enlightening as my fellow panelists bring deep experience and best practices knowledge to the discussion. Today, and until we see a robust IPO market re-emerge for growth companies with market capitalizations below $1 billion, M&A is the only way to generate liquidity for most venture portfolios. We will discuss the challenges associated with getting deals done and recommend best practices to optimize outcomes for emerging companies.

To register online for Best Practices for Board Members Priming VC-Backed Companies For M&A
on September 26, 2008 go to http://events.dowjones.com/webinars/20080926.html

"Fat, Dumb, and Happy"-- Intel CEO Craig Barrett Comments on American Competitiveness at Risk at Aspen Ideas Festival

KPCB's John Doerr interviewed Intel's Craig Barrett at the Aspen Ideas Festival on the impact of technology on our society and dives into the topic of the sustainability of American competitiveness in innovation. This topic is front and center for the American venture capital industry, as the National Venture Capital Association (NVCA) declared yesterday that a U.S. capital markets crisis exists for the start-up community. Just as the capital markets problems for emerging US companies are structural and have been building for years, Barrett accurately points to underlying structural issues in the U.S. educational system that put America at risk of losing its ascendance in innovation leadership.

Some ominous signs-- Intel used to make 90% of its investments in the US-- today the split is 50% US, 50% Asia. While the U.S. still has the best engineering schools in the world, Barrett points out that 60% of PhD graduates from US universities are foreign nationals. He notes that, due to our current visa policy, the US is stupidly sending them home after the US taxpayer has subsidized their education in this country. Watch the video:

Sarah Lacy, Silicon Valley Host of Yahoo! Finance Tech|Ticker, Interviews Pascal, Sharon Wienbar (Scale Venture Partners), and Jessica Canning (Dow Jones/VentureSource) on Current VC Industry Trends

Last Thursday I joined Sharon Wienbar, Managing Director of Scale Venture Partners, and Jessica Canning, Director of Global Research for Dow Jones/ VentureSource, on Yahoo! Finance's Tech|Ticker program, hosted by Business Week's Sarah Lacy. We discussed issues ranging from opportunities in Clean Tech investing and the current state of tech IPO's to the implications of recent VC industry funding statistics and how entrepreneurs should manage their companies through an economic downturn. Two of the segments were posted this morning and can be accessed at http://finance.yahoo.com/tech-ticker

"The Untold Cyber War"-- Huffington Post Reports on Upcoming 2nd Annual IT Security Entrepreneurs Forum

I was recently interviewed by Karen Salmansohn, who writes a regular column for the Huffington Post, while I was at the Aspen Institute attending a Socrates Society Forum seminar on Energy Security.  Her article, 'The Untold Cyber War' , comments on an area of increasing personal and professional interest for me-- protecting our nation's vulnerability to a cyber attack that could cripple our critical data and communications infrastructure.

We are engaged in a full-on cyber war right now-- and the bad guys aren't just laptop-toting 17 year-olds fueled by Red Bull in the Ukraine.  Well-funded, organized groups (translates to state-sponsored) are constantly probing for exploitable weaknesses in our data network infrastructure, and they are not discriminating between the private sector and the government.  We must collaborate and share best practices to win this war-- the costs of losing it will be severe, pervasive, and will wreak havoc across our socio-economic system very quickly.

To learn more about how to promote public private partnerships and see the agenda for the second annual IT Security Entrepreneurs Forum, go to www.publicprivatepartnerships.org.